After an incredible defensive performance over the Houston Texans in Houston, it’s becoming difficult to find more superlatives to describe just how well this Colts team is playing. They have won 5 games in a row, 10 of its last 11 games and only given up an average of 15 PPG over that stretch. On offense, Andrew Luck has really come of age, showing the ability to completely control a game. During the regular season, Luck threw for 4,593 yards and 39 TDs (2nd in the league behind today’s opponent). Last week against Houston, he only threw for 222 yards and 2 TDs, but the team was content to control the ball, feeding the ball to RB Marlon Mack, who rushed for 148 yards on 24 carries.
The Kansas City Chiefs are an easy team to analyze. They are simply brilliant on offense and awful on defense. The offense finished the regular season as the league’s top offensive unit with just over 436 YPG. While the Chiefs looked unstoppable heading into week 11, the defense then gave up 54 points in an epic loss to the Los Angeles Rams 51-51, and personal issues led to the release of star RB Kareem Hunt, which seemed to affect the flow of the offense. QB Patrick Mahomes is the leading candidate for NFL MVP honors after compiling almost 5,100 yards passing and 50 TDs. Admittedly, the defense has not shown the ability to stop anyone, ending up ranked 31st in the league, giving up over 405 YPG.
Prediction: Both teams have the ability to move the ball. Only one team has the ability to stop an opposing offense. That’s a huge advantage in a game that looks like a shootout on paper. The Chiefs have a decent homefield advantage, going 7-1 on the season in KC with the only loss being by one point to a very good Chargers team on the last play of the game. With that said, the Colts look like the better team and they are getting points. Play Indianapolis +5.5 (score Indianapolis 34-27.)