Bet Tips and Predictions

Liberty Bowl (Memphis, TN) December 31, 2018

Missouri -7.5 (o/u 74.5) vs Oklahoma State

Playing in the SEC East Division is no bargain. While Missouri (8-4) didn’t fare to well against its own kind, they used a weak non-conference schedule to rack up wins on the way to this bowl game. They did finish the season with 4 straight wins, including a nice 38-17 victory over #10 Florida in Gainesville. The offense, which ranked 38th in the country (468.8 YPG), was able to put up big numbers, scoring less than 33 points only three times. QB Drew Lock proved to be a capable leader, passing for 3,125 yards and accounting for 31 TDs passing or running. The bend-but-don’t-break defense gave up lots of yards outside the red zone, but successfully thwarted scoring attempts. In the end, they only gave up 24.4 PPG, not bad in a very tough conference.

Oklahoma State arrives after a hectic season in the fun n’ gun Big 12 Conference. There was never a dull moment with the Cowboys (6-6) on the field. They scored a lot of points, and they gave up a lot of points. They just had the misfortune of playing a bunch of teams that had equal or better firepower. The highlight of a rather disappointing season was a very narrow (48-47) to #4 Oklahoma in Norman. The offence was ranked 10th in the nation thanks to a potent passing attack. The offense was led by the passing combination of QB Taylor Cornelius (3,642 yards passing, 28 passing TDs, 10 rushing TDs) and WR Tylan Wallace (79 receptions, 1,408 yards, 11 TDS). The defense had no answer for anyone, giving up more than 36 PPG.

Prediction: It’s very likely both coaches are going to open the playbook and play this game loose. Both teams are capable of scoring 40+ at will and only Missouri has ever shown the ability to stop anyone. Laying more than a touchdown is uncomfortable, considering Oklahoma State was able to go Toe-to-toe with the Sooners. Likewise, it’s hard to bet on a bad defense. The answer…Play over 74.5