Boston College vs Boise State -1.5 (o/u 55)
Boston College comes into this game with little to offer in the way of momentum. They lost its last three games to finish the season at 7-5. Of course, two of those losses were to Syracuse and Clemson, both ranked teams playing in major bowl games. It’s hard to fault a running game that averaged 189.1 YPG, 99th in the nation. The Eagles’ leading rusher was AJ Dillion, who ran for 1,108 yards and 10 TDs. Unfortunately, he was forced to carry the offense because of mediocre support from the passing game. On defense, BC held its own, only allowing 30+ points three times on the season. While they did give up an average of more than 400+ yards a game, they used a bend-don’t-break mentality to keep teams out of the endzone.
Year after year, Boise State (9-3) competes at the highest level. This year, they finished the season ranked 25th. They finished the season winning 7 of its last 8 games with the only loss coming by a field goal in the MWC championship game against 21st ranked Fresno State. The schedule wasn’t particularly tough, but they did beat the best teams in the conference, including Fresno State earlier in the season. The nation’s 35th ranked passing attack (292 YPG) was led by future pro-prospect QB Brett Rypien, who threw for 3,705 yards and 30 TDs with only 9 interceptions. He got great support from Junior RB Alexander Mattison, who rushed for 1,415 yards and 17 TDs. The defense played well against the run with the team ending up ranked 38st in the nation for total defense.
Prediction: The line doesn’t appear to be in line with the talent differential between these two teams. The reality is both teams were going in different directions at the end of the season. It won’t be a cakewalk, but it’s hard to imagine Boise State won’t find a way to cover a small number with everything in the team’s favor. Play Boise State -1.5
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