Miami Florida -3 (o/u 47.5) vs Wisconsin
While the Miami Florida Hurricanes only played one ranked team, loss to LSU 33-17 in the first game of the season, the schedule still came back rather tough with 9 teams making bowl appearance. A mid-season slump forced the Canes to buckle down to win its last two games to earn a bowl appearance. In the 70s and 80s, Miami produced some of the best college QBs in history. My how things have changed. Much of the team’s offensive struggles came from an anemic passing attack that ranked 223rd in the nation with just over 177 YPG. They did run the ball fairly well behind Travis Homer with 969 yards from scrimmage. The defense was nothing short of spectacular, ranking 1st in pass defense (140.8 YPG) and 2nd in total defense with only 268.3 YPG.
Wisconsin also relied heavily on a solid defense that ranked 42nd in the NCAA with just over 358 YPG allowed. They weren’t near as effective against the pass, but they did hold opponents to just over 200 YPG through the air. On offense, Wisconsin had a one-man wrecking crew in All-American RB Jonathon Taylor, who led the nation in rushing with 1,969 yards and 15 TDs. This was accomplished on only 280 rushes, good for an average 7.1 YPC. Without much support, Wisconsin struggled with consistency as indicated by them alternating wins and losses over the last eight games of the season. A big 22-10 win upset win over #12 Penn State at College Station was the highlight of the season.
Prediction: Aside from Taylor, it’s difficult to figure out how either team is going to generate any offense against great defenses. Taylor will get his yards, but Miami will make sure that’s all Wisconsin gets. On offense, Miami just doesn’t have any explosive weapons. The total looks a might too high in a game that figures to be won in the trenches. Play the under 47.5
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