Bet Tips and Predictions

Sugar Bowl (Atlanta, GA) January 01, 2019

Texas vs Georgia -13.5 (o/u 58)

It’s good to see #15 Texas (9-4) ascend back into the upper ranks of NCAA football. They put together a solid season that included a huge upset win in Norman over #4 Oklahoma 48-45. While the Sooners did get revenge in the Big 12 title game, the signature win earned Texas a chance to play in a major New Year’s bowl game. Much of the team’s success has been attributable to a decent passing game (63rd in the nation) that featured soph QB Sam Ehlinger, who threw for 3,123 yards with 25 touchdowns and only 5 interceptions. That’s a lot of poise for a young QB. Lil’Jordon (his real name) Humphrey caught 79 passes 1,109 yards and 9 TDs. The only weakness Texas had as a team was on defense where they gave up 26.2 YPG.

Many experts believe Georgia belongs in the playoffs instead of the Sooners. There is an argument to be made based on the fact Georgia’s two losses came against #11 LSU and #1 Alabama 35-28 in the SEC championship game. After an incredible 2017 year on offense, the Bulldogs had a curious drop off in production. They ended up 30th in the nation for total offense with 478.8 YPG, but the passing game was merely decent. The offense was led by QB Jake Fromm, who passed for 2,537 yards and 27 TDs with only 5 INTs. The good news is the Bulldogs put forth a solid defensive unit that ranked tied for 16th in the nation for points allowed at 18.5 PPG.

Prediction: If nothing else, Texas proved to be very scrappy on both sides of the ball. The problem they face in this game is they come up against a team with a big chip on its shoulder. The feeling is Georgia is going to play with unparalleled intensity to show the country who really belonged in the playoffs. Play Georgia -13.5


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Sandy Platini

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